秘书 ›› 2022, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (5): 11-25.

• 校庆专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字贸易营商环境对中国对外直接投资的影响——基于“一带一路”沿线国家的研究

许玲丽,徐晨皓   

  1. 上海大学

  • 出版日期:2022-09-15 发布日期:2022-10-18
  • 作者简介:许玲丽,上海大学经济学院教授、博士生导师。研究方向:劳动经济学,数量经济学。徐晨皓,上海大学经济学院国际商务专业硕士研究生。研究方向:国际贸易。
  • 基金资助:

    上海市哲学社会科学规划课题一般项目二孩政策下女性劳动力市场参与及表现研究2019BJB020

The Impact of Digital Trade Business Environment on China’s Foreign Direct Investment——Based on the Research of Countries along the“Belt and Road”

XU LingliXU Chenhao   

  • Online:2022-09-15 Published:2022-10-18

摘要:

文章研究“一带一路”沿线国家数字贸易营商环境对中国对外直接投资的影响,通过熵值法测算“一带一路”沿线45个国家2008年至2017年的数字贸易营商环境,利用Heckman两阶段模型和扩展的投资引力模型进行实证研究。总体来看,“一带一路”沿线国家数字贸易营商环境水平与中国对外直接投资之间呈现“U”型非线性关系,表明东道国数字贸易营商环境的初步完善,并不能立即吸引中国企业的对外直接投资,只有当东道国数字贸易营商环境进入成熟阶段以后,才能吸引中国企业的对外直接投资并不断扩大投资规模;从经济发展水平看,“一带一路”沿线中高收入国家的数字贸易营商环境与中国对外直接投资之间的关系更符合“U”型特征。因此,需要逐步缩小与“一带一路”沿线国家间的“数字鸿沟”及信息不对称,完善数字贸易统计和核算体系;在数字经济快速发展的今天,中国企业进行对外直接投资时必须把东道国的数字贸易营商环境作为重要考量,这将有利于提升中国对外直接投资的质量,促进中国对外直接投资可持续发展。


关键词:

数字贸易营商环境, 对外直接投资, 一带一路

Abstract:

The article focuses on the countries along the “Belt and Road”and studies the impact of the digital trade business environment on China’s foreign direct investment. The entropy method is used to measure the digital trade business environment of 45 countries along the “Belt and Road” from 2008 to 2017and the Heckman two-stage model and the extended investment gravity model are used for empirical research. The study found thatOverall, the level of digital trade business environment in countries along the “Belt and Road” and China’s OFDI presents a “positive U” shape nonlinear relationshipindicating that the preliminary improvement of the host country’s digital trade business environment can not immediately attract Chinese companies. Only when the digital trade business environment of the host country has entered a mature stagecan it attract Chinese companies’ OFDI and continue to increase their investment in itamong countries with different incomesthe relationship between digital trade business environment of upper-middle-income countries along the “Belt and Road” and China’s OFDI is more similar to the “positive U” shape nonlinear relationship. Thereforeit is necessary to gradually reduce the “digital divide” and information asymmetry with countries along the “Belt and Road”promote the development of digital trade in countries along the routeand improve the digital trade statistics and accounting systems. With the rapid development of the digital economyChinese companies must take the digital trade business environment of the host country as an important consideration when conducting OFDIwhich will help improve the quality_ of China’s OFDI and promote the sustainable development of China’s OFDI.

Key words: digital trade business environment, outward foreign direct investment, the “Belt and Road”