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不同代别农民工生育意愿及其影响因素——基于厦门市912位农村流动人口的实证研究

庄渝霞

  

  1. 庄渝霞;厦门大学应用经济学博士后流动站;博士
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-01-20 发布日期:2008-01-20

The Procreation Desire of Peasant Workers of Different Generations and Its Influencing Factors: A Survey of the Floating Peasant Workers in the City of Xiamen

Zhuang Yuxia   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-01-20 Published:2008-01-20

摘要: 笔者利用在福建省厦门市举行的两次关于流动人口的抽样调查数据1 ,对不同代别2 农民工的生育意愿进行描述,结果表明:在最佳生育年龄方面,旧生代、过渡代和新生代农民工的看法没有太大的差异,在意愿生育数量、意愿生育质量、意愿生育性别和生育动机方面,三个代别的农民工存在显著性差异。对三个代别的意愿生育数量、意愿生育质量和生育动机的影响因素进行回归分析的结果表明:影响旧生代和过渡代农民工生育意愿三个方面的因素较复杂,其中,受教育程度和生育经历的影响较集中。对于新生代农民工而言,只有受教育程度这一变量始终在影响着其意愿生育数量、意愿生育质量和传统型生育动机;从事何种职业影响着其关于情感性生育动机的看法。笔者认为已婚农民工的生育经历对生育意愿所起的作用将为新生代的生育行为提供前车之鉴,通过进一步加强教育和提升职业层次,将为新生代农民工具备良好的生育意愿和生育行为创造条件。

关键词: 生育意愿, 农民工, 旧生代, 过渡代, 新生代

Abstract:

Based on the data of two surveys of the floating peasantworker population in the city of Xiamen, Fujian Province, this paper describes the procreation desire of peasant workers of different generations. The results indicate that the three generations of the old, the transitional, and the new share similar opinions about the best ages for reproduction but differ significantly on the following issues: number of desired children, quality of children, preferred sex of their children, and motives for having children. The regression analysis reveals a complex set of factors that have influenced the procreation desire of the peasant workers of the old and transitional generations, which cluster around educational and reproductive experience variables. As to the peasant workers of the new generation, only the educational variable has been affecting their views on the aforementioned issues. Furthermore, career choice also has an impact on the emotional aspect of the reproductive motive. The role that the married peasant workers’ reproductive experience has played in their reproductive motive will serve as a lesson for the new generation in their reproductive behaviors. Favorable conditions to promote positive reproductive motives and behaviors among the peasant workers of the new generation can be created through education and career enhancement.

Key words: the new generation, the old generation, peasantworkers, procreation desire, the transitional generation