关键词: 文化, 离婚率, 婚姻稳定性, 流动人口

Abstract: Using the data from the Inter-Provincial Migration Survey (2013-2015),this paper examines the impact of regional divorce culture on migrants' marital stability from a dynamic perspective. The study finds that high divorce rate regions created a strong culture of divorce acceptance that influence both in-flow and out-flow migrants. With control for major confounders,the instrumental variable approach analysis shows that,1) for every additional divorce case (per 100 couples) in the destination area,the probability of divorce increased by 1.38 to 1.65 percentage points among in-flow migrants,and 2) for every additional couple divorce (per 100 couples) in the area of origin,the probability of divorce increased by 1.32 to 1.91 percentage points among out-flow migrants. Further,the regression results show that the influence of divorce culture on individual behavior is characterized by inheritance and immersion effect. Inheritance effect is reflected in the continuous impact of the original divorce culture among migrants who have settled in a new place. Immersion effect shows migrants assimilate themselves into the divorce culture of the new place. Young migrants are more likely to be affected by the cultural immersion effect,while older people are more vulnerable to the cultural inheritance effect. The study also shows that in a new environment,men are more receptive to new things,while women are more likely to retain their original cultural identity.

Key words: culture, divorce rate, marital stability, migrant